What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Heading Into Fall 2026
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What buyers and sellers should know heading into fall 2026
September often brings a shift to the Twin Cities real estate market. Summer schedules wind down, families return to routines, and buyers and sellers begin thinking more seriously about what they want to accomplish before the end of the year.
But the market itself has changed since last fall.
In September 2025, the Twin Cities housing market remained relatively tight. New listings increased 5.2% year over year, pending sales were up 7.9%, and the median sales price reached $390,000, an increase of 2.6%. Homes spent an average of 44 days on the market, while the metro had just 2.7 months of housing supply.
Heading into September 2026, buyers are seeing more choice. The latest available Twin Cities metro data, from July 2026, shows 11,586 homes for sale, up 6.7% from the previous year. Months of supply increased to 3.0, while the median sales price rose 3.3% to $408,000. Closed sales were also up 10.5% year over year.
The takeaway: Buyers have more options, while home values remain strong.
More inventory can create opportunities that were harder to find in previous years.
That does not mean every home is negotiable. Location, condition, pricing and presentation still matter. Well-priced homes in desirable communities such as Wayzata, Minnetonka, Plymouth, Edina, Orono and the surrounding West Metro can continue to attract strong interest.
Mortgage rates also remain an important part of the equation. Affordability continues to influence how buyers think about price, monthly payments and timing.
More inventory means buyers have more choices, which makes pricing and presentation even more important.
A home that is positioned correctly from the beginning has a better opportunity to stand out. That means understanding the competition, pricing based on today's market, and making sure the photography, marketing and overall presentation give buyers a reason to choose your property.
In July 2026, Twin Cities sellers received an average of 99.1% of their list price, while homes spent approximately 40 days on the market.
The market is becoming more balanced. It is not a market without opportunity.
The Twin Cities housing market is not one market.
Wayzata is different from Plymouth. Minnetonka is different from Eden Prairie. A waterfront property is different from new construction or a townhome.
Broad market statistics provide valuable context, but property-specific information should guide a buying or selling decision.
Don't let a broad market headline make a decision for you.
Look at the numbers for your specific community, price range and property type. That is where the information becomes useful.
After more than 20 years in Minnesota real estate, I have learned that the best decisions rarely come from following the headlines. They come from understanding the market in front of you.
This fall, buyers have more choice. Sellers still have opportunity. The difference is that strategy matters more than ever.
Thinking about buying?
Thinking about selling?
September can be a good time to make a move. The key is understanding what is happening in the community, price range and property type that matters to you.
If you're considering a move in Wayzata, Minnetonka, Plymouth, Edina, Eden Prairie or the Twin Cities West Metro, I would be happy to help you look at the numbers specific to your property and neighborhood.
Holly Connaker
Founding Executive REALTOR® | Connaker Group | Compass
Twin Cities West Metro & Minnesota
Minnesota Realtors® — September 2025 Housing Market Report
Twin Cities metro statistics for September 2025, including listings, pending sales, median sales price, days on market and months of supply. View the report
Minnesota Realtors® — July 2026 Housing Market Report
Latest available monthly Twin Cities metro data for 2026, including inventory, sales, pricing and market times. View the report
Minnesota Realtors® — Housing Market Reports
Current and archived Minnesota housing market data. View market reports
Market information is based on data from Minnesota Realtors®, NorthstarMLS and participating MLSs. Data are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Market conditions vary by location, price range and property type.